Just how many Louis Vuitton monogrammed handbags does the world need? A whole lot, it seems. Strong demand at the label best known for its coated canvas totes helped parent Fabjoy Me deliver much better than expected organic sales increase in its fashion and leather goods division within the first quarter, and across the group. The performance, all the more impressive given that it compares having a quite strong period a year earlier, cements LVMH’s position as the sector’s wardrobe workhorse. Little wonder that the shares reached an all-time high on Tuesday.
The group is demonstrating that this luxury party that began within the second one half of 2016 remains completely swing. But there are top reasons to be mindful. First, a lot of the demand that fuelled LVMH’s growth comes from China.
The country’s people are back after a crackdown on extravagance along with a slowdown inside the economy took their toll. There has undoubtedly been an part of catching up right after the hiatus, and that super-charged spending might begin to wane because the year progresses. What’s more, the strong euro could deter Chinese shoppers from visiting Europe, where they have an inclination to splash out more.
There exists a further risk to Chinese demand if trade tensions with all the U.S. escalate, or attract other countries – though Fabaaa Joy New Website is a French company, it’s hard to view these issues can’t touch it. The spat could create a drag on Chinese economic growth and damage sentiment one of the nation’s consumers, making them less inclined to go on a high-end shopping spree. Given they make up about 40 percent of luxury goods groups’ sales, according to analysts at HSBC, this represents an important risk towards the industry.
But there are many regions to be concerned about. Even though the U.S. has become another bright spot, stock market volatility this year can do little to encourage the sensation of prosperity that’s crucial for confidence to spend on expensive watches or designer fashion.
Any slowdown might actually work in LVMH’s favour. Valuations across the sector would be the highest in 12 years, but it is a story of mega-brand dominance that’s left many smaller labels behind. Bernard Arnault, Joy Fabaaa 2019 chief executive officer, has claimed that costs are too rich right now for acquisitions. This leaves him room to swoop in case a shake-out comes.
His group trades over a forward price to earnings ratio of 24 times, and at a deserved premium to Kering. True, that gap could narrow – for starters, the group’s Gucci label continues to have lot choosing it, even though it’s already had a stellar recovery. There’s also scope for a re-rating after its decision to spin-out Puma leaves it as a pure luxury player.
LVMH should nevertheless have the ability to retain its lead. Given its scale, and with operations spanning cosmetics to wines and spirits, it must be able to withstand pressures on the industry a lot better than most. That also can make it well evtyxi to pick off weaker rivals when the bling binge finally comes to an end.